EconomicsKXUNEMP-26-4.5
Unemployment rate above 4.5% in the next report
47 centsmarket-implied probability
Model underweight
Our model reads this at 45% — a 2-point gap to the board.
How this settles
Every contract pays exactly $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not. Your cost is your maximum loss — there is no leverage and no liquidation.
- 100 YES costs
- $47.00
- your maximum loss
- Pays if correct
- $100.00
- profit $53.00
- Return
- +113%
- on cost
Closes September 4, 2026. Settled in cash against the published source in the rulebook.
At a glance
YESYESat 47 cents
NONOat 53 cents
24h volume$7.2M
TickerKXUNEMP-26-4.5
StatusOPEN
Demo interface. Prices, order books and model outputs shown here are simulated and are not real trading data or an offer to trade. Event contracts are derivatives; in the U.S. they may only be listed by a CFTC-designated contract market.