PoliticsKXSHUT-26NOV-01
Government shutdown before November 1
22 centsmarket-implied probability
Model overweight
Our model reads this at 31% — a 9-point gap to the board.
How this settles
Every contract pays exactly $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not. Your cost is your maximum loss — there is no leverage and no liquidation.
- 100 YES costs
- $22.00
- your maximum loss
- Pays if correct
- $100.00
- profit $78.00
- Return
- +355%
- on cost
Closes November 1, 2026. Settled in cash against the published source in the rulebook.
At a glance
YESYESat 22 cents
NONOat 78 cents
24h volume$12.6M
TickerKXSHUT-26NOV-01
StatusOPEN
Demo interface. Prices, order books and model outputs shown here are simulated and are not real trading data or an offer to trade. Event contracts are derivatives; in the U.S. they may only be listed by a CFTC-designated contract market.