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CultureKXOSCAR-27-A24

A24 film wins Best Picture

26 centsmarket-implied probability
Model underweight

Our model reads this at 24% — a 2-point gap to the board.

How this settles

Every contract pays exactly $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not. Your cost is your maximum loss — there is no leverage and no liquidation.

100 YES costs
$26.00
your maximum loss
Pays if correct
$100.00
profit $74.00
Return
+285%
on cost

Closes March 14, 2027. Settled in cash against the published source in the rulebook.

At a glance

YESYESat 26 cents
NONOat 74 cents
24h volume$1.0M
TickerKXOSCAR-27-A24
StatusOPEN

Demo interface. Prices, order books and model outputs shown here are simulated and are not real trading data or an offer to trade. Event contracts are derivatives; in the U.S. they may only be listed by a CFTC-designated contract market.